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April Exhibits

 

Exhibit One: Politics as Usual

“The anti-Trump agenda is ensnared in a massive collective action problem. The anti-Trump movement is better off if Rubio drops out. However, the problem is (not) simple for a party that really does not believe in collective action problems solved through societal actions and instead believes or at least publicly spouts off that everything can be modeled on the basis of individual rational behavior to get optimal societal results. There is a stable equilibrium that is extraordinarily negative for the anti-Trumpers where everyone is asking the other individuals to impale themselves on the barbwire so that they can use the body as a bridge to get into Trump’s trenches.

The traditional solution to a collective action problem is to have an external entity be able to move people off of stable but negative equilibriums and compensate losers from the much larger net social gains. The RNC is not a strong governing entity and Republicans don’t do collective action problems well anyways…”
-Richard Mayhew 3/8/2016

It seems God is playing a little joke on a lot of Republican Presidential Candidates, telling them to run and then beating them with Donald Trump.

“The voter we almost never hear about, however, is the Clinton voter. Which is surprising, since Hillary Clinton has won more votes in the primaries than any other candidate so far. She has amassed over 2.5 million more votes than Sanders; over 1.1 million more votes than Trump. An examination of Clinton voters and their motivations might reveal that the narrative that most media outlets have been feeding us this election cycle is dubious at best. Because if the biggest vote-getter of either party is Hillary—by a large margin—then that suggests the electorate is not necessarily as angry as pundits claim. It further suggests that perhaps some people are tired of hearing about how angry they are, and are quietly asserting their opinions at the ballot box. If Democrats are so angry, Clinton would not be in the position she is today. Is it really so farfetched to claim that quite a few Democrats aren’t voting for Sanders precisely because he seems angry? Which isn’t to suggest that people aren’t angry—certainly many Republican primary voters seem to be. Rather, it is to suggest that voters who aren’t angry are still showing up at the polls, despite being ignored in news stories…”
-Anne Laurie 3/21/2016

Now a few Mesuem comments on this: First, if you add up the “angry” vote it far exceeds the Clinton vote, so the media is following the story, just not, as is their usual MO, completely. Second: It is important to understand that at least in the past, the Primary turn out does not correlate to the subsequent General Election turn out, however it is useful in showing the mood of the party. And Third: Total votes do not always mean power in the USA political system. In total votes, the Democrats out shine the Republicans in the House of Representatives, but the Republicans hold a 58 seat advantage. In 2000 the Democrats won the popular vote, but the Republicans won the Electoral College. We live in a Republic, if we can keep it, not a democracy

Exhibit Two: Sadly Brussels

ISIS is wounded, but as the Belgians found out a wounded beast is very dangerous. Unfortunately this will probably be the norm in Europe for the next few years, ISIS is withering, in territory, in recruits (they are using the old African warlord strategy of child soldiers now), in striking power, but they are not dead yet. A few disaffected youths and you can have a tragedy anywhere. As long as the Middle East is in turmoil we will have these tragedies which only stability has a hope of curing. However to quote Franklin again, “Those who would give up essential Liberty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety.” If ones deprives a fellow citizen of their rights, you are depriving yourself the same rights. We have already ceded the Government far too much authority to give it even more power now, especially to allow it to selectively police citizens of the Republic based on politics, religion or ethnic origins. The 1st, 4th, 13th, 14th amendments of the Constitution are just as inviolate as the 2nd.

Final Exhibit:

“Recently, a few political scientists have begun to discover a human tendency deeply discouraging to anyone with faith in the power of information. It’s this: Facts don’t necessarily have the power to change our minds. In fact, quite the opposite. In a series of studies in 2005 and 2006, researchers at the University of Michigan found that when misinformed people, particularly political partisans, were exposed to corrected facts in news stories, they rarely changed their minds. In fact, they often became even more strongly set in their beliefs. Facts, they found, were not curing misinformation. Like an underpowered antibiotic, facts could actually make misinformation even stronger.”

Which is why we are Museum, which shows that which was, not what is to be.



Unkwil



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Uncle Willie loves to have feedback from both readers who appreciate his point of view as well as from missguided souls who disagree.